روند تغییر قیمتها در سال 2009

روند تغییر قیمتهای آکریلونیتریل و الیاف آکرولیک در سال 2009 به شرح زیر است:
ACRYLONITRILE:

Acrylonitrile market remained standstill at the end of the last fortnight due to balanced market fundamentals. Speculators expected that supply shrank in the month of November due to multiple outages in Asian region but decline in demand from plastic and textile industries did not allow them for price rally. Offers for Acrylonitrile from Chinese firm Shanghai Petrochemical and Anqing Petrochemical was assessed at RMB 12500/ton at the beginning of the last fortnight. In the beginning of the last fortnight few cargoes imported from U.S.A market were offered at prices around US$ 1500/ton. During the first half of the last fortnight price of Acrylonitrile imported from F E Asian and S E Asian market was in the range of US$ 1500/ton to US$ 1505/ton. In S Asian market price of Acrylonitrile hovered in the range of US$ 1500/ton to US$ 1520/ton. Acrylonitrile imported from European spot market was at US$ 1530/ton to US$ US$ 1540/ton. In U.S.A spot market price range of Acrylonitrile was US$ 1400/ton to US$ 1410/ton. By the end of the first half of the last fortnight due to expected tight availability bullish sentiment strengthen further push the price ahead in the Chinese domestic market in the range of RMB 13000/ton to RMB 13300/ton.

Current Acrylonitrile Market


Acrylonitrile
Acrylonitrile
(US$/ton)
Far East (CFR)
1495 - 1500
Southeast Asia (CFR)
1500 - 1505
South Asia (CFR)
1495 - 1515
USG (FOB)
1410 - 1420
Med (CIF)
1480 - 1490


In the second half of the last fortnight buying interest for Acrylonitrile declined further due to weak demand, despite of tight spot supply. For Acrylonitrile, fourth quarter is usually off season hence buying sentiment will remained subdued. During the second half of the last fortnight Chinese Acrylonitrile market remained firm in enquiries supported the price hike of RMB 13500/ton to RMB 13800/ton by Fushun Petrochemicals and Jilin Petrochemicals. By the end of the last fortnight bullish sentiment thickened suddenly following to firm upstream market. Acrylonitrile buyers rush to market to maintain their hand to mouth feedstock inventories but tight supply intensified under such situation; here sellers took an advantage to supply the materials to regular customers at a high price and low volumes. By the end of the last fortnight price Acrylonitrile strengthen further with the firm cues from the Western markets. In U.S.A market price of Acrylonitrile increased to US$ 1415/ton to US$ 1425/ton, similar price growth was noticed in Chinese market too where price leap up to level of RMB 13800/ton to RMB 14200/ton. Price of Acrylonitrile in F E Asian and S E Asian market was standstill at US$ 1505/ton to US$ 1510/ton. Price of Acrylonitrile in S Asian market remained unchanged at US$ 1500/ton to US$ 1520/ton. It was only the European market where price was declined to US$ 1495/ton which was earlier in the range of US$ 1530/ton to US$ 1540/ton. Several Acrylonitrile
Text Box: Acrylonitrile Watch
producers and traders sold out their stock on hand, and their expected December price target stay between US$ 1580/ton to US$ 1600/ton.
Future Market: Acrylonitrile market is expected to remain firm in the future. Watch

ACRYLIC STAPLE FIBER:

During the first half of this last fortnight, acrylic fibre market remained stable. Producers’ supply decreased a little, sale/production ratio was good and inventory was at low level. USD-based prices were still firm, with limited offers and modest inquiring activities from domestic buyers. In USD based market, the offers of imported acrylic tow 3.0 Den were around US$ 2.09-2.18/kg. ASF 1.5 Den was offered at US$ 2.10-2.17/kg in China. Acrylic fibre market will remain steady in short term amid stable demand. Acrylic fibre prices remained firm during the first half of this last fortnight in the Chinese domestic market. Spot value of ASF 1.5 Den was largely offered at around RMB 18,300-18,800/ton. ASF 3.0 Den was priced at RMB 17,300-17,800/ton. The acrylic fibre sentiment was healthy, and supply/demand fundamental was stable. Supported by good sales of downstream yarn, domestic demand for acrylic staple was strong, with prices stable-to-firm and future market expected to be bullish. Domestic producers cut down operating rates, while overall production was normal.

Current Acrylic Staple Fibre Market

Commodity
Specification
Origin
Remarks
Price (US$/kg)
ASF
1.5 Den
U.S
Domestic
2.40 – 2.50
ASF
1.5 Den
Europe
Domestic
2.38 – 2.52
ASF
1.5 Den
China
Domestic
2.40 – 2.55
ASF
1.5 Den
China
Import
2.17 – 2.20
ASF
1.5 Den
Taiwan
Domestic
2.19 – 2.20


In USD based market, offers were hiked supported by the rise in feedstock prices during the second half of this last fortnight. In USD based market, the offers of imported acrylic tow 3.0 Den were around US$ 2.09-2.18/kg. ASF 1.5 Den was offered at US$ 2.15-2.22/kg in China. USD-based prices moved up obviously due to the increase of feedstock, and trading activities increased though inquires were modest. Overall acrylic fibre sentiment was stable and liquidity was healthy, with prices ranging bound at a high level in the Chinese domestic market. However, downstream demand was modest, as high costs eroded margins of downstream sector. Spot prices went up as suppliers raised their offers due to tight supply in the market. Prices for ASF 1.5 Den were around RMB 18,000-18,500/ton. ASF 3.0 Den price was hovering around RMB 17,400-18,100/ton. The prevailing price for acrylic tow 3.0 Den was at RMB 17,450-18,200/ton during the second half in the Chinese domestic market. It is expected that demand for acrylic fibre will be stable in the short term.

Acrylic fibre prices remained stable in the domestic market in Taiwan this month. Export prices for November increased around US$ 2.17-2.20/kg. With the economy in Europe and the U.S recovering, export demand is expected to grow, particularly since the quota with China has been cancelled too. Demand for acrylic spun yarn in the U.S improved slightly and acrylic fibre prices remain unchanged as compared to last month. In Europe, raw material costs were stable and consequently acrylic fibre
Text Box: Acrylic Staple Fibre Watch
prices were unchanged from that of previous month. No change is expected in the short term but demand is very strong in the export market.
Future Market: The acrylic fibre market is expected to remain stable on the whole in the coming fortnight.